Are There Way Too Many People Moving to Idaho?
Hey, Dave Edwards, Treasure Valley Dave here in Nampa, Idaho. Today, I want to examine the question: “Are people moving to Idaho — to the Treasure Valley in particular — in these vast numbers that make us all pull our hair out?”
Sometimes you read the newspapers or hear the media, and it’s like, “Oh yeah, that’s exactly what’s going on.” So it’s like the world’s ending — Armageddon and whatnot. But is that true? Well, let’s find out.
This story discussed how the U.S. Census shows that the Greater Treasure Valley nears 900,000 people. But let’s look at the Treasure Valley, which surpassed 800,000 people last year. All but one of Idaho’s 44 counties saw a population gain. The Gem State has gained just shy of a hundred thousand new residents since 2020. So that’s a lot.
How Much Did the Treasure Valley Grow?
It says Ada County added almost 24,000 new people in the last two years, and Canyon County was just a little behind with another nearly 20,000. But is this all this accurate? I wondered that myself.
They linked this story to the U.S. Census Bureau, and I pulled up their numbers. This is the spreadsheet that they put together, and I just pulled out Idaho. So let’s take a look at this together.
U.S. Census Spreadsheet
The top line is Idaho. The next ones are Ada County and Canyon County, and all other counties within Idaho are down here. And we might look at some of those in a little bit.
So we start here: 2020, 2021, and 2022. These are the birth rates. In 2020, 836. In 2021, we had 3,200 babies and then 3,300 babies in 2022. I’m looking at this Idaho total number up here. There’s a lot of procreating that’s not necessarily happening right here in the Treasure Valley. Interesting, huh?
If you’re looking for some place because you’re young and have some oats to sow, there are some counties you might not want to go to, like, I don’t know, that county or that county. So there isn’t a whole lot of sowing going on over there.
But let’s look at the death rates over here. So 2020, 2021, and 2022 — this is funny, huh? Not funny “ha-ha” but weird.
In Canyon County, almost 400 died in 2020 before the numbers increased. So what the heck was going on in 2021 and then 2022? It’s like the same thing that we saw throughout the state.
Oh, that’s right. Fauci did something, right? So yeah, we’ve had a lot of death. The natural change — deaths minus births — shows that in Canyon County, for 2022, we had a net gain of 1,169 people. So I suppose that with all those births, there will be 3,300 kids going to school here in another four or five years. So that’s what we look like, gaining residences just through the natural occurrence of births and deaths.
Let’s look over here at international migration. Canyon County is here at the bottom. In 2020, we had 10; then we popped up to 55 and 180. Statewide, you can see 58, 700, 1,800. In Ada County, 16, 175, 510. Wow. They got a lot of international migration.
I remember Obama brought in a bunch of refugees. There may be more refugees coming in that pump up this number. And if that’s the case, that’s great for Democrats because they need all the help they can get to keep a hold of Boise. Because Boise’s not going to stay communist all that much longer is my prediction.
So these are people moving to Idaho from other states. In 2020, in Canyon County, it was 1,500, then 9,900 in 2021, and then there’s a migration rate decline in 2022. Can you jump down to 5,700? And we see the same trend with Ada County in the middle and then Idaho in general. So it’s like we had this big boom here in 2021.
What was going on? Oh, that’s right, all those blue states locked everybody down. They didn’t care about your business; they didn’t care about anything other than making sure you stayed home and complied. “You will comply,” I’m pretty sure they were saying.
Total Migration Rate
So add those two numbers together. This is the total migration that we got for the years 2021 and 2022, and that’s what those are: international and domestic.
This is the population estimate, and then this is the change. So apparently, the change is net babies plus immigration equals that amount. So that’s what we had for 2022, which brought us up to a total for Canyon County of almost a quarter million. Ada County had a net of 6,000, bringing them up to 518,000. And then the entire state brought them up to that much of a population change.
So what’s the deal here? It’s like we’ve got a migration of 5,900. That’s how many people moved to Canyon County last year. The previous year was almost 10,000.
Is that normal that year? It looks like it’s wacky all around, but maybe things are starting to return to normal — whatever normal is. That may be what we’re looking at here. Possibly next year will be less and get returned more and more to normal.
Is There a Population Problem?
Are we having too many babies? Too many people? Not enough people dying? Gosh, I don’t know about that. But let’s see the amount of change.
Last year, 7,200 for the entire Canyon County. So that’s Nampa, Caldwell, and all the distant places like Middleton, Parma, little Notus, and Melba.
When you look at the headlines we had a little bit ago, it’s screaming that it nears 900,000 residents. But when we look at this, we only went up 7,300 bodies in Canyon County. The whole state was not even 35,000. The headlines might be misleading because it only went up that much, including that bulge in the pipeline going through. I guess it’s kind of like the baby boomers (Remember that?) and how it’s like population because of the baby boomers. So maybe now that the war’s over — the war against the people — things will start to get back.
The population is 1.93 million, so it’s not even 2 million for the entire state. So you can see that we have three-quarters of a million in Ada and Canyon County. So it’s not 900,000 — it’s 760,000 or something like that.
Is there a difference? I think so. If everyone’s getting all their things in a bunch over 35,000 or 7,300, yeah, that extra 150,000 they’re talking about is a little grandiose. But anyway, so not 2 million in the entire state — only three-quarters of a million in the Treasure Valley.
Comparing Idaho vs. San Francisco Population
The San Francisco Bay Area, just for comparison’s sake — and add in San Jose — has 9.71 million people. They’ve got almost five times the people of our entire state in the San Francisco Bay Area. So what is that? It’s 12 times their population of just the Treasure Valley in the Bay Area?
“Oh my gosh, Treasure Valley Dave, traffic’s so bad in the Treasure Valley.” Have you driven through the San Francisco Bay Area? It’s not even on the same plane.
Comparing Idaho vs. San Diego Population
It’s San Diego. A lot of people live down in San Diego; a lot of good people need to escape. So the San Diego metro area has 3.3 million people. What is that — 1, 2, 3, or 4 times the Treasure Valley in the San Diego metro area?
Comparing Idaho vs. Sacramento Population
And, of course, I used to live in Sacramento before I moved to Vacaville. And they’ve got 2.4 million people in the Sacramento metro area. So that’s three times what we have in the Treasure Valley. There’s so much more density, so many more people in all these other places, which we don’t have here.
And when you see the news stories, it’s like, “Oh my gosh, the wheels are coming off. There are way too many people in the Treasure Valley, blah, blah, blah.” So if you’ve lived in Idaho all your life, you will say, “Oh, it is that bad.”
Moving to Idaho from California
Congratulations if you’ve moved up here from Sacramento, San Diego, the San Francisco Bay Area, or any of those other blue states you escaped from. You’re going to say, “You know what? It’s not that bad here.” And we’re seeing people out there fixing the potholes and roads, and we see more roads made and widened for handling more people up here. So they’re being very proactive.
There’s no more place to put people in San Francisco — it’s the water. So everybody has to get packed. Here in the Treasure Valley, we still have some room, and we’re not getting packed and packed and packed. And if we do, it’s probably because of that agenda 21/30 thing that the communists are trying to push down our throats, that 15-minute city thing. No thanks. If you want to thank California, please do. Go right ahead.
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This is Treasure Valley Dave, and I look forward to helping you get home.